Trading Using Multiple Time-frames
Stock markets worldwide function because, at any given time, some traders want to buy whilst others want to sell. Traders' desires to buy or sell depends on their strategy, their objectives and their chart time-frames. Short-term traders and long-term traders see dramatically different perspectives on their charts. Short-term traders usually watch 1-minute to 15-minute charts, whilst long-term traders usually watch daily, weekly or monthly charts.
Trends, support and resistance lines, and technical indicators look different on a 1-minute chart than they do on a daily chart. For example, you may look at a 1-minute chart for BHP Billiton (BHP) and see that the stock price appears to be in a downward trend. But, if you switch to a daily chart, you would probably see that the price has been in an upward trend for years. So a momentary reversal is unlikely to be of consequence.
It is important to realise that, in this example, both charts are right-depending on your perspective and your trading time-frame. If you are a short-term trader, you should be focusing on short-term charts and trends. If you are a long-term trader, you should be focusing on long-term charts and trends. However, when the short-term and long-term trends are in agreement, you are probably right to be confident in an investment.
To get a comprehensive idea of the trends and support and resistance levels that influence the stocks and CFDs in which you have an interest, you should analyse the following three charts:
Once you have analyzed each time-frame on an individual basis you can combine them to confirm if, taken together, they indicate a high probability of this being a good time to invest.
As its name suggests, the trend chart helps users to identify the predominant trend. If the price on the trend chart is in an upward trend, you should consider buying the stock or CFD. If the price on the trend chart is in a downward trend, you should consider selling.
The optimum time-frame for your trend chart is determined by the time frame you typically use for your trading (signal) charts.
The list below identifies the most common signal-chart time frames and identifies the most appropriate time frame to use for your trend chart:
- 1-minute signal chart 15- to 30-minute trend chart
- 5-minute signal chart 1-hour trend chart
- 15- to 30-minute signal chart 4-hour trend chart
- 1-hour signal chart 1-day trend chart
- 1-day signal chart 1-week trend chart
- 1-week signal chart 1-month trend chart
As you can see from the pairings above, if you typically trade stocks and CFDs looking at a 1-hour chart, then you should use a 1-day chart for your trend chart. It is fairly straight forward.
Once you have identified the ideal time frame for your trend chart, you can spot the prevailing trend using diagonal support and resistance levels or moving averages.
You can see on the weekly chart for Exxon Mobil (XOM:xnys ) that both the diagonal support level and the moving average show that its price is in an upward trend (see Figure 1 ).
Figure 1-Trend Chart
If there is an upward trend on your trend chart, then you should be looking for buy signals on your signal chart. If there is a downward trend on your trend chart, then you should be looking for sell signals on your signal chart.
Once you have identified the trend, you should begin to look for potential trading signals.
The signal chart is your most important chart. It provides the trading signals that tell you when to look for buying and selling opportunities. For instance, if you typically use the commodity channel index (CCI) to help you identify trading signals, then you will use it here on the signal chart (see Figure 2 ).
Figure 2-Signal Chart
Using a signal chart in conjunction with a trend chart enables you to more accurately identify potentially profitable trade signals. For example if your trend chart shows the stock price is on an upward trend, you should only be looking for buy signals on your signal chart. The best way to capitalise on a long-term upward trend is to buy the stock or CFD. If your trend chart shows the stock price is on a downward trend, you should only be looking for sell signals on your signal chart. The best way to take advantage of a longer-term downward trend is to sell the stock or CFD.
In effect, the trend charts allow you to ignore the less-profitable half of the trading signals you see on your signal chart. Since these trading signals are going against the long-term trend, they have a higher likelihood of performing poorly.
Having identified your trading signals you need to decide when to enter and exit your trades using your timing chart.
Timing charts, as their name implies, help time entries and exits. Timing can be critical to profitability when you are a trader because even small swings in the price of individual stocks or CFDs could be very significant if you own or manage lots of them.
The list of common signal-chart time-frames below identifies the ideal time-frame for your timing chart:
- 1-minute signal chart Tick timing chart
- 5-minute signal chart 1-minute timing chart
- 15- to 30-minute signal chart 5-minute timing chart
- 1-hour signal chart 15-minute timing chart
- 1-day signal chart 1-hour timing chart
- 1-week signal chart 1-day timing chart
- 1-month signal chart 1-week timing chart
You can use one of the following methods when pinpointing entry and exit signals on your timing charts:
- You can identify the trend as well as its support and resistance levels
- You can use the same technical indicator you use to generate your trading signals
Identify trend as well as its support and resistance -if you see a buy signal on your signal chart, then you should be looking for an upward trend on the timing chart. Hopefully, the price is closer to support than it is to resistance. This tells you the stock or CFD has the potential to move higher before hitting resistance. Of course, if it has just broken up through resistance, it may continue to move higher.
Using a technical indicator -if you use a technical indicator, such as the commodity channel index (CCI), on your signal chart to generate buy and sell signals, you can likewise use that same indicator on your timing chart to help confirm those signals.
For example, if you use the CCI on your signal chart and it creates a buy signal, then you could add the CCI to your timing chart and watch for it to generate a buy signal there too. If the CCI is not giving a buy signal on the timing chart, you should wait for that to happen before acting (see Figure 3 ).
Figure 3-Timing Chart
Let's examine a high-probability trade setup using the multiple time-frame strategy. We will look at the Altria Group (MO:xnys) using a weekly chart as the trend chart, a daily chart as the signal chart and a 1-hour chart as the timing chart.
First, look at your trend chart to see the currency's trend. On the Altria weekly chart, the stock price has been in an upward trend for some time (see Figure 4 ). It would be unwise to ignore such a trend and prematurely sell the stock or CFD.
Figure 4-Trend Chart (High-Probability Trade Setup)
Next, look at the signal chart to spot a buy signal for the Altria Group. This time we are using the commodity channel index (CCI) to generate the trading signal. On the daily Altria Group chart, the CCI gave a buy signal on 13 February as it crossed up from below the -100 threshold. The stock price also bounced up off support at that same time (see Figure 5 ).
Figure 5-Signal Chart (High-Probability Trade Setup)
Lastly, look at the timing chart to see an appropriate time to invest in the Altria Group. On the 1-hour chart, the stock price has found support at approximately $72 and appears to be moving slightly higher (see Figure 6 ).
Figure 6-Timing Chart (High-Probability Trade Setup)
Seeing the trading signal on the signal chart correspond so well with the trend on the trend chart and the currency movement on the timing chart should increase your confidence in the probability of an investment making money.
Using multiple time-frames provides you with a variety of accurate and useful pieces of trading information. Using this strategy wisely can help lead to better trades. Better trades lead to more profits.
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